How does your EPR work?
For the Queefs to be your #1 team is crazy
They havent beaten any body worth a shit yet besides the Kitty Lions
MGCOLBY's Picker Thread 2024
- Thread starter mgcolby
- Start date
For the Queefs to be your #1 team is crazy
They havent beaten any body worth a shit yet besides the Kitty Lions
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Straight stats. Ranking averages, weighted across 8 categories on a 4 game rolling average. SoS is not one of them.
Edit: I just looked at the weekly records. And EPR is going to have its first ever losing week this week. I think I came up with it week 10 last year. Or right around there. Assuming the Cowboys don't shit themselves, it will be 6-7. It is underperforming so far in comparison to last year. It consistently hovered around 70%-win percentage last year. It finished at 69%. It was at 59% going into this week. So I imagine it will drop to 57-58%.
I can definitely add more data points to it now that its in sql, I am pulling down a lot of data that I didn't have in excel. SoS would be worth looking at. But I have to figure out from what angle. These rankings are purely "efficiency" based. How well are they performing in yards per game, points etc... over the past four games. SoS would probably mean opponents rankings/averages in the same categories. Also a few new stats I already have pondered adding to it. But its been near the bottom of the list of about 1000 things to do to get the sql pipeline working.
Edit: I just looked at the weekly records. And EPR is going to have its first ever losing week this week. I think I came up with it week 10 last year. Or right around there. Assuming the Cowboys don't shit themselves, it will be 6-7. It is underperforming so far in comparison to last year. It consistently hovered around 70%-win percentage last year. It finished at 69%. It was at 59% going into this week. So I imagine it will drop to 57-58%.
I can definitely add more data points to it now that its in sql, I am pulling down a lot of data that I didn't have in excel. SoS would be worth looking at. But I have to figure out from what angle. These rankings are purely "efficiency" based. How well are they performing in yards per game, points etc... over the past four games. SoS would probably mean opponents rankings/averages in the same categories. Also a few new stats I already have pondered adding to it. But its been near the bottom of the list of about 1000 things to do to get the sql pipeline working.
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mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Season Record
Will post a full weekly and game by game results at some point today or tomorrow. Rough, rough week for the picker. Two losing weeks in a row. Season Total = ATS & Totals W-L record. Streak is weekly. First ever losing week for EPR since its inception.
Will post a full weekly and game by game results at some point today or tomorrow. Rough, rough week for the picker. Two losing weeks in a row. Season Total = ATS & Totals W-L record. Streak is weekly. First ever losing week for EPR since its inception.
Season Record
Will post a full weekly and game by game results at some point today or tomorrow. Rough, rough week for the picker. Two losing weeks in a row. Season Total = ATS & Totals W-L record. Streak is weekly. First ever losing week for EPR since its inception.
View: https://youtu.be/aLSO0HnLM68?si=m9nncDIFdgFvQHfj
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Week 10 Predictions
Hoping for a better week. But just looking at some of the games it looks a bit rough on the surface between injuries and trades.
TNF would look more promising if it wasn't such a large line. Divisional game, Denver likes to play come back kid etc.. Miami mustering up enough pride to hang with Buffalo? Tough to see that given the overall situation and losing waddle. Normally a 10 point home dog in a divisional game would be like free money. I don't believe it will be this time. Minnesota hanging with Baltimore? I can see it, Baltimore's defense has been bad. They are home dogs. Houston would be attractive with CJ Stroud, not so sure with Mills. But Houston's defense is playing at a very high level. And then Washington hanging with Detroit without RGIII II er Daniels, seems like a tough sled.
Hoping for a better week. But just looking at some of the games it looks a bit rough on the surface between injuries and trades.
TNF would look more promising if it wasn't such a large line. Divisional game, Denver likes to play come back kid etc.. Miami mustering up enough pride to hang with Buffalo? Tough to see that given the overall situation and losing waddle. Normally a 10 point home dog in a divisional game would be like free money. I don't believe it will be this time. Minnesota hanging with Baltimore? I can see it, Baltimore's defense has been bad. They are home dogs. Houston would be attractive with CJ Stroud, not so sure with Mills. But Houston's defense is playing at a very high level. And then Washington hanging with Detroit without RGIII II er Daniels, seems like a tough sled.
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Week 10 EPR
Finally have the deltas looking right. Not sure if the team color border is a nice touch or tacky looking. I'm on the fence.
Probably need to change the position after the tie slots to the next logical number not next number available i.e. 22-22-24 vs 22-22-23. Only showing "30" seems like it could cause confusion.
Finally have the deltas looking right. Not sure if the team color border is a nice touch or tacky looking. I'm on the fence.
Probably need to change the position after the tie slots to the next logical number not next number available i.e. 22-22-24 vs 22-22-23. Only showing "30" seems like it could cause confusion.
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Week 11 Predictions
Got to call out a few weather forecasts here. Buffalo, Cleveland and NY looked off and in fact are off compared to weather channel and a few others. The site I pull the data from is very reputable and has been fairly accurate until now. May look to change that up here soon.
I have a new feature I was going to put out tonight but will have to wait another day or so. Again, one step forward two steps back on this. What was working yesterday is broken today for no logical reason. But I have views for the picker of each team and how well the picker has fared in its predictions for each category. But week 10's games are breaking the search for some reason. However, going off memory from last week an oddity or so it felt to me it was 4-0 when predicting Jet game ATS through week 9 and it won again last week. So it is 5-0 in Jets games and I want to say it was 3-1 on NE which would be 4-1 now. But heed caution my friends. Divisional game on a short week.....And that is a hefty fucking spread!
Got to call out a few weather forecasts here. Buffalo, Cleveland and NY looked off and in fact are off compared to weather channel and a few others. The site I pull the data from is very reputable and has been fairly accurate until now. May look to change that up here soon.
I have a new feature I was going to put out tonight but will have to wait another day or so. Again, one step forward two steps back on this. What was working yesterday is broken today for no logical reason. But I have views for the picker of each team and how well the picker has fared in its predictions for each category. But week 10's games are breaking the search for some reason. However, going off memory from last week an oddity or so it felt to me it was 4-0 when predicting Jet game ATS through week 9 and it won again last week. So it is 5-0 in Jets games and I want to say it was 3-1 on NE which would be 4-1 now. But heed caution my friends. Divisional game on a short week.....And that is a hefty fucking spread!
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