MGCOLBY's Picker Thread 2024

That Chicago game was nuts. And Jax shitting themselves in OT sucked. Rough week for the picker. Haven't counted but a quick glance probably a losing week.
How does your EPR work?
For the Queefs to be your #1 team is crazy
They havent beaten any body worth a shit yet besides the Kitty Lions
 
Straight stats. Ranking averages, weighted across 8 categories on a 4 game rolling average. SoS is not one of them.

Edit: I just looked at the weekly records. And EPR is going to have its first ever losing week this week. I think I came up with it week 10 last year. Or right around there. Assuming the Cowboys don't shit themselves, it will be 6-7. It is underperforming so far in comparison to last year. It consistently hovered around 70%-win percentage last year. It finished at 69%. It was at 59% going into this week. So I imagine it will drop to 57-58%.

I can definitely add more data points to it now that its in sql, I am pulling down a lot of data that I didn't have in excel. SoS would be worth looking at. But I have to figure out from what angle. These rankings are purely "efficiency" based. How well are they performing in yards per game, points etc... over the past four games. SoS would probably mean opponents rankings/averages in the same categories. Also a few new stats I already have pondered adding to it. But its been near the bottom of the list of about 1000 things to do to get the sql pipeline working.
 
Last edited:
Dallas Cowboys Nfl GIF
 
Season Record

Will post a full weekly and game by game results at some point today or tomorrow. Rough, rough week for the picker. Two losing weeks in a row. Season Total = ATS & Totals W-L record. Streak is weekly. First ever losing week for EPR since its inception. 🤧


week 10 record.jpg
 
Week 10 Predictions

Hoping for a better week. But just looking at some of the games it looks a bit rough on the surface between injuries and trades.
TNF would look more promising if it wasn't such a large line. Divisional game, Denver likes to play come back kid etc.. Miami mustering up enough pride to hang with Buffalo? Tough to see that given the overall situation and losing waddle. Normally a 10 point home dog in a divisional game would be like free money. I don't believe it will be this time. Minnesota hanging with Baltimore? I can see it, Baltimore's defense has been bad. They are home dogs. Houston would be attractive with CJ Stroud, not so sure with Mills. But Houston's defense is playing at a very high level. And then Washington hanging with Detroit without RGIII II er Daniels, seems like a tough sled.


week10.jpg
 
Week 10 EPR

Finally have the deltas looking right. Not sure if the team color border is a nice touch or tacky looking. I'm on the fence.
Probably need to change the position after the tie slots to the next logical number not next number available i.e. 22-22-24 vs 22-22-23. Only showing "30" seems like it could cause confusion.
week 10 epr rankngs.jpg
 
Shamlock's Pick of the Week:

Apologies for not having the new view. But still a work in progress.

Arizona @ Seattle Over 44.5
 
Back
Top