MGCOLBY's Picker Thread 2024

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's Pick of the Week
Try to get back to winning ways!​

 

[mgcolby]

Not trying to brag lord knows its had some bad weeks. Just so happens its best week in as long as I can remember against the spread happened the same week I got a finalized new view. Also have a new live win probability dashboard I am testing out that seems pretty cool so far. 6-8 on totals so that pissed in the cheerios a bit. Looking for feedback on the delta bars.

Added a screenshot of the live card view. Would like to note at that same moment ESPN live win probability was 95.2 SF and 4.8% Carolina. I have done zero regression or historical testing on the formula. Just more concerned with trying to get it working with some accuracy. That gave me some confidence.

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[mgcolby]

Season Record & Week 12 Results ​

 

[mgcolby]

Week 13 EPR​

 

[mgcolby]

 

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's Pick of the Week

Chicago +7​

 

[mgcolby]

Just an FYI tonight's picker pick is Det -3.5.

Predicted Score is:
Dal: 25.9
Det: 30.4
Det by 4.5
Total: 56.3
Over 55

 

[Lord Guts]

Just an FYI tonight's picker pick is Det -3.5.

Predicted Score is:
Dal: 25.9
Det: 30.4
Det by 4.5
Total: 56.3
Over 55

as long as its not shamlock

 

[mgcolby]

Had the first EPR Push. The detailed view shows a "-", need to fix it to show "P".
ATS is heading in one direction and the Totals are heading in the opposite. I spent all week thinking the picker went 10-5-1 without realizing New Orleans scored a late TD covering the 5.5. So 9-6-1 it is. Not a bad two week run 21-8-1 ATS. By the week its 7-2 ATS and 3-4-2 for Totals.

 

[mgcolby]

Week 14 EPR

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[mgcolby]

 

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's POTW Record​

Apologies for not updating this recently. Been slacking.

Season record 6-3
Week 5: Detroit: -9.5 (W)
Week 6: Arizona/Indianapolis: Over 46.5 (W)
Week 7: Houston/Seattle: Over 41 (W)
Week 8: Pittsburgh: +3.5 (L)
Week 9: NE: -5.5 (L)
Week 10: Arizona/Seattle: Over 44.5 (W)
Week 11: Seattle/LA Rams: Over 48 (L)
Week 12: Dallas: +3.5 (W)
Week 13: Chicago: +7.5 (W)

 

[mgcolby]

as long as its not shamlock

Nope its not shamlock's pick.

 

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's Pick of the Week 14​

Traveling so just throwing this out her old school.

Washington Commanders +2