MGCOLBY's Picker Thread 2024

[Kontradiction]

Not a bad start. A weird losing week straight up. But a winning week ATS and a push on totals. Also hit the shamlock. Again apologies for the format. I am working on some stuff and hopefully in the next couple of weeks I will have a whole new presentation.View attachment 24213

You got MNF right.

 

[mgcolby]

I also whiffed on adding these the other day. But here are the week 5 Shamlock's EPR rankings:

EPR W-L: 8-6

Note: Ignore the previous rank and delta. I had not run it for weeks 1-4.

 

[mgcolby]

I'm working on this. But I'm also traveling etc...so sorry for the lateness!

This was painful today. But I got tonight's predicted score!

Phi: 20.6
NYG: 13.4
Delta: 7.2
Total: 34

 

[mgcolby]

Here is this week's picks:

 

[mgcolby]

And week 6 EPR:

 

[Deus Irae]

Here is this week's picks:

View attachment 24339

Unfortunately, as it did for most people, that first choice already crapped out.

 

[mgcolby]

Yep. Funny thing is when I ran the SQL query it had the Giants winning by 7 points and I was like that can't be right. I checked and sure enough the week 5 game data hadn't imported. I imported the week 5 data and reran it and it flipped. I haven't gone back and looked at Week 1 Giants game but removing that game from the 4 game look back it uses it flipped the game essentially 14 points. Which I found crazy.

 

[mgcolby]

Week 6 Shamlock's Pick of the Week:

Arizona @ Indy Over 46.5

 

[mgcolby]

There is one correction. I will not it in the final results as well. The Denver/NYJ game had Denver winning by 5.1 and it had Denver -5.5 listed as the play instead of the Jets +5.5. Apologies. I am using agents (bots) to build out some things I am working on, and it mislabeled the play and I failed to catch it in my review.

The picker is in a good place going into tonight's games. Guaranteed winning weeks for ATS (two consecutive weeks), SU and EPR, totals still has a chance to have a winning week.

Going into tonight's games:

ATS: 9-4
Totals: 6-7
SU: 9-4
EPR: 9-4

 

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's Pick of the Week is 2-0.
Week 5: Detroit: -9.5 (W)
Week 6: Ari-Indy: Over 46.5 (W)

 

[mgcolby]

Week 7 TNF Prediction:




Will post the rest of the week's plays tonight or tomorrow (hopefully)

 

[Kontradiction]

Week 7 TNF Prediction:


View attachment 24535

Will post the rest of the week's plays tonight or tomorrow (hopefully)

I’ve been fucking up so badly that I need these.

 

[mgcolby]

I’ve been fucking up so badly that I need these.

Not a good one. Crazy shit. Flaccid at 50 can still manage to throw rainbows off his back foot and find a receiver. Two TNF games in a row

 

[mgcolby]

Week 7 EPR rankings

Ignore the movement indicator. Got to figure out why that logic is seemingly off. But the rankings and order are accurate.

​

 

[Lord Guts]

View: https://www.instagram.com/p/DPVSPL3Dn0t/?igsh=MWVubTAxcWl3cWJteA==

@shamlock

 

[mgcolby]

Week 7 Predictions:

​

 

[mgcolby]

Shamlock's Pick of the Week for Week 7

Houston/Seattle Over 41
Season record 2-0
Week 5: Detroit: -9.5 (W)
Week 6: Ari-Indy: Over 46.5 (W)

 

[mgcolby]

Record:

Week 5 Record:
ATS: 8-6
Totals: 7-7
SU: 6-8
EPR: 8-6

Week 6 Record:
ATS: 9-6
Totals: 8-7
SU: 9-6
EPR: 9-6

Week 7 Update:
ATS: 8-7
Totals: 8-6-1
SU: 10-5
EPR: 9-6

Current Season:
ATS: 25-19 | 57%
Totals: 23-20-1 | 53%
SU: 25-19 | 57%
EPR: 26-18 | 59%
POTW: 3-0

Shamlock POTW
Season record 3-0
Week 5: Detroit: -9.5 (W)
Week 6: Ari-Indy: Over 46.5 (W)
Week 7: Houston/Seattle Over 41 (W)

 

[mgcolby]

Apologies for the hap hazard posting. Been extremely busy lately. Hopefully I will have better reporting, posting and game writeups etc...soon.

 

[mgcolby]

Week 8 TNF

Still working out the bugs on my new view. So, until its consistent - workarounds will be the word. Tread with caution Thursday's have not been kind to the Picker!

Min: 25.4
LAC: 20.9
Pick: MIN +3
Total: 46.3
Over: 43.5