AFC Championship Game Pats @Donkeys News/Discussion
- Thread starter Lord Guts
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captain stone
Well-known member
captain stone
Well-known member
UPDATE: At least they're now on the field; but they still need to fucking play.
captain stone
Well-known member
Below freezing = Ebb sucking.
captain stone
Well-known member
HSanders
Well-known member
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
I see another double digit win assuming the pats don't sit at midfield and shit themselves all game. It would take a slew of Turnovers by NE to keep this close. That defense is highly overrated and Stidham...c'mon. The defense might score enough points to beat them in this one.
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Just to add to my post above. NE is the best all around team left standing. Our Offense is on par with LA and our defense now that its healthy is on par with Seattle. Denver without Nix I don't have any faith in. It comes down to can Maye clean up the slop and hold onto the damn ball. And does the pressure get to him at some point or does he stay ho-hum just another game. Thats the unknown. But I'll take him over Nix/Stidham and Darnold in any game any day of the week. And at this point you take Stafford (if you so choose) because of experience. I like our chances more than anyone's to raise the Lombardi.
Stidham in at QB makes pretty much every data nugget worthless.
And take the Patriots, laying the points. They'll likely win by double digits on Sunday.
Bills had the exact same schedule except for 2 games that are based on previous year seeding
Bills mafia think Allen's a clutch QB too.
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
Some stats:
From the past 4 games.
NE: 1st in 5 categories (Rush YPC, Takeaways, INTs, Fumbles tied, Red Zone) - ball hawks
DEN: Distant 3rd across the board
LA: Last in 10 of 14 categories
LA: 1st in 6 categories - volume kings (points, yards, pass yards, rush YPC, first downs, no fumbles lost)
NE: 1st in 5 categories - efficient and balanced (YPP, pass YPA, rush yards, 4th down, red zone)
SEA: 1st in ball security (fewest turnovers, fewest INTs) but 4th in most efficiency stats
DEN: Only leads in 3rd down % - middle of the pack otherwise
Overall Rankings
1. NEW ENGLAND
Defense: 2nd in points allowed (9.8), 1st in takeaways (2.3), 1st in red zone D (18.2%)
Offense: 2nd in points (31.0), 1st in YPP (6.3), 1st in pass YPA (7.97), 1st in red zone (71.4%)
The most complete team. Elite efficiency on both sides, best turnover margin, finishes drives and stops them.
2. SEATTLE
Defense: 1st in points allowed (8.8), 1st in yards (190.8), 1st in YPP allowed (3.6)
Offense: 3rd in points (24.8), 4th in yards (311.0), but 1st in ball security (0.5 TO/game)
Dominant defense carries them, but the offense is limited. They win by not beating themselves.
3. LA
Defense: Dead last in almost everything (28.0 pts, 347.8 yds, 6.03 YPP allowed)
Offense: 1st in points (34.0), 1st in yards (422.0), 1st in pass yards (288.8)
Have to outscore everyone because the defense can't stop anyone. High-wire act.
4. DENVER
Defense: 3rd across the board, nothing special
Offense: 4th in points (23.3), 4th in rush yards (108.5), only leads in 3rd down %
Middle of the road on both sides - and now without their starting QB.
From the past 4 games.
Defensive Comparison
| Stat | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| Points Allowed | SEA (8.8) | NE (9.8) | DEN (19.0) | LA (28.0) |
| Yards Allowed | SEA (190.8) | NE (233.8) | DEN (266.0) | LA (347.8) |
| YPP Allowed | SEA (3.6) | NE (3.75) | DEN (4.3) | LA (6.03) |
| Pass Yds Allowed | SEA (101.5) | NE (143.3) | DEN (168.3) | LA (235.0) |
| Pass YPA Allowed | SEA (3.4) | NE (3.8) | DEN (4.22) | LA (6.6) |
| Rush Yds Allowed | SEA (89.3) | NE (90.5) | DEN (97.8) | LA (112.8) |
| Rush YPC Allowed | NE (3.65) | SEA (3.85) | DEN (4.63) | LA (4.8) |
| Takeaways/Game | NE (2.3) | SEA (1.8) | DEN (1.0) | LA (1.0) |
| INTs/Game | NE (1.5) | SEA (1.0) | DEN (0.8) | LA (0.5) |
| Fumbles Rec/Game | NE (0.8) | SEA (0.8) | LA (0.5) | DEN (0.3) |
| Defensive TDs | SEA (0.3) | NE (0.3) | DEN (0.3) | LA (0.3) |
| Opp 3rd Down % | SEA (31.1%) | NE (32.1%) | LA (38.0%) | DEN (42.4%) |
| Opp 4th Down % | SEA (20.0%) | NE (33.3%) | LA (42.9%) | DEN (50.0%) |
| Opp Red Zone % | NE (18.2%) | SEA (50.0%) | DEN (50.0%) | LA (69.2%) |
Defensive Summary:
SEA: 1st in 9 categories - dominant overallNE: 1st in 5 categories (Rush YPC, Takeaways, INTs, Fumbles tied, Red Zone) - ball hawks
DEN: Distant 3rd across the board
LA: Last in 10 of 14 categories
Offensive Comparison
| Stat | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| Points Scored | LA (34.0) | NE (31.0) | SEA (24.8) | DEN (23.3) |
| Total Yards | LA (422.0) | NE (381.5) | DEN (344.8) | SEA (311.0) |
| YPP | NE (6.3) | LA (6.17) | DEN (5.3) | SEA (5.13) |
| Pass Yards | LA (288.8) | DEN (236.3) | NE (219.3) | SEA (169.0) |
| Pass YPA | NE (7.97) | LA (7.0) | DEN (6.3) | SEA (5.85) |
| Rush Yards | NE (162.3) | SEA (142.0) | LA (133.3) | DEN (108.5) |
| Rush YPC | LA (4.97) | NE (4.92) | SEA (4.17) | DEN (4.13) |
| Turnovers/Game | SEA (0.5) | DEN (1.0) | LA (1.3) | NE (1.3) |
| INTs Thrown | SEA (0.3) | NE (0.5) | DEN (0.5) | LA (1.3) |
| Fumbles Lost | LA (0.0) | SEA (0.3) | DEN (0.5) | NE (0.8) |
| 3rd Down % | DEN (43.1%) | SEA (40.4%) | LA (37.3%) | NE (36.4%) |
| 4th Down % | NE (66.7%) | LA (60.0%) | DEN (50.0%) | SEA (33.3%) |
| Red Zone % | NE (71.4%) | LA (61.1%) | DEN (53.8%) | SEA (41.2%) |
| First Downs | LA (23.0) | NE (20.5) | DEN (19.3) | SEA (19.0) |
Offensive Summary:LA: 1st in 6 categories - volume kings (points, yards, pass yards, rush YPC, first downs, no fumbles lost)
NE: 1st in 5 categories - efficient and balanced (YPP, pass YPA, rush yards, 4th down, red zone)
SEA: 1st in ball security (fewest turnovers, fewest INTs) but 4th in most efficiency stats
DEN: Only leads in 3rd down % - middle of the pack otherwise
Overall Rankings
1. NEW ENGLAND
Defense: 2nd in points allowed (9.8), 1st in takeaways (2.3), 1st in red zone D (18.2%)
Offense: 2nd in points (31.0), 1st in YPP (6.3), 1st in pass YPA (7.97), 1st in red zone (71.4%)
The most complete team. Elite efficiency on both sides, best turnover margin, finishes drives and stops them.
2. SEATTLE
Defense: 1st in points allowed (8.8), 1st in yards (190.8), 1st in YPP allowed (3.6)
Offense: 3rd in points (24.8), 4th in yards (311.0), but 1st in ball security (0.5 TO/game)
Dominant defense carries them, but the offense is limited. They win by not beating themselves.
3. LA
Defense: Dead last in almost everything (28.0 pts, 347.8 yds, 6.03 YPP allowed)
Offense: 1st in points (34.0), 1st in yards (422.0), 1st in pass yards (288.8)
Have to outscore everyone because the defense can't stop anyone. High-wire act.
4. DENVER
Defense: 3rd across the board, nothing special
Offense: 4th in points (23.3), 4th in rush yards (108.5), only leads in 3rd down %
Middle of the road on both sides - and now without their starting QB.
Great stats!!! Thanks!!!
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
This ai stats bot/agent I created and am fine tuning is a beast! It just pulls the stats out of my sql database. Tell it what you are looking for and boom it brings shit back like this. it will be a feature on the website.
mgcolby
Go Eat a satchel of Richards!
AFC Championship: NE vs DEN - Common Opponents
| Opponent | NE Result | DEN Result | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN | W 31-13 @ | W 20-12 vs | NE (bigger margin on road) |
| NYJ | W 27-14 vs, W 42-10 @ | W 13-11 @ | NE (dominant both games) |
| NYG | W 33-15 vs | W 33-32 vs | NE (comfortable vs nail-biter) |
| CIN | W 26-20 @ | W 28-3 vs | DEN (blowout) |
| LAC | W 16-3 vs | L 20-23 @, W 19-3 vs | Push (NE 1-0, DEN 1-1) |
| LV | L 13-20 vs | W 10-7 vs, W 24-17 @ | DEN (2-0 vs NE 0-1) |
| BUF | W 23-20 @, L 31-35 vs | W 33-30 vs (playoffs) | Push (both split) |
| HOU | W 28-16 vs (playoffs) | W 18-15 @ | NE (bigger margin) |
Verdict: NE has the edge - more dominant wins against shared opponents (TEN, NYJ, NYG). DEN's only clear advantage is Vegas (2-0 vs NE's 0-1).
NFC Championship: LA vs SEA - Common Opponents
| Opponent | LA Result | SEA Result | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | L 23-26 vs, W 42-26 @ | L 13-17 vs, W 13-3 @, W 41-6 vs | SEA (2-1 vs LA 1-1) |
| ARI | W 45-17 @, W 37-20 vs | W 23-20 @, W 44-22 vs | LA (bigger margins) |
| TB | W 34-7 vs | L 35-38 vs | LA |
| NO | W 34-10 vs | W 44-13 vs | SEA (bigger margin) |
| JAX | W 35-7 @ | W 20-12 @ | LA (bigger margin) |
| TEN | W 33-19 @ | W 30-24 @ | LA (bigger margin) |
| CAR | L 28-31 @, W 34-31 @ | W 27-10 @ | SEA (1-0 dominant vs LA 1-1) |
| ATL | L 24-27 @ | W 37-9 @ | SEA (blowout vs LA loss) |
| IND | W 27-20 vs | W 18-16 vs | LA (bigger margin) |
| HOU | W 14-9 vs | W 27-19 vs | SEA (bigger margin) |
Verdict: Pretty even. LA has bigger margins against ARI, TB, JAX, TEN, IND. Seattle has the edge against SF (2-1), CAR, ATL, NO, HOU. Seattle's dominance over SF (2-1 including 41-6 playoff demolition) stands out.
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