Patriots GameDay Patriots vs Texans Divisional Round

Patriots GameDay Discussion
The Patriots finally know their divisional round opponent, as the Houston Texans will visit Gillette Stadium at 3 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC) on Sunday afternoon.
After advancing with a win over the Chargers, New England hosts a Houston team that blew open the game in the fourth quarter to earn a 30-6 win over the Steelers on Monday night. Under head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans earned the top Wild Card spot (No. 5 seed) following a second-place finish in the AFC South. In three seasons as Texans head coach, Ryans has won a playoff game, but Houston has yet to advance past the divisional round in its 24-year history and Monday night's win in Pittsburgh was its first road playoff victory in franchise history.
Starting with Houston's strength, the Texans defense might be the best in football. Houston finished the regular season with the second-ranked unit in scoring defense (17.4 PPG) and expected points added, trailing only the Seahawks in both categories. The Texans are also the No. 1 ranked defense in EPA per drop-back, featuring an elite pass rush with bookend Pro Bowlers in Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. In the secondary, All-Pro CB Derek Stingley and underrated nickel defender Jalen Pitre anchor the backend.
Schematically, the Texans are a zone-based defense that structurally doesn't do much to confuse you; they're just that good. Houston plays the modern Seattle-3, which has become more of a quarters-based scheme in recent years rather than playing so much cover three. They'll mix in post-safety coverages like cover three and man coverage, with the cornerback talent to play man-to-man if they so choose.
Believe it or not, the metrics don't love Houston's pass rush, as they rank 18th in team pressure rate and 21st in pass-rush win rate, but some of that is because they don't blitz much, ranking 28th in blitz rate. Again, it all starts up front with this group, as the pass rush makes it difficult to call longer-developing plays. If you can block it, Houston is only 14th in explosive pass play rate allowed, so they have given up some big pass plays. However, they can dominate the line of scrimmage, while their productive front four generates pressure without blitzing, allowing them to keep bodies in coverage.
As for the Texans offense, Houston's offense is coordinated by a familiar face: former Patriots assistant Nick Caley. The Texans have struggled to score points at times and to execute situationally, as they did vs. the Steelers in the Wild Card round. The Texans finished the year ranked 13th in scoring offense (23.8 PPG), but that's aided by their defense. In terms of efficiency, Houston was 22nd in total EPA and 17th in drop-back EPA, while top WR Nico Collins' status is in doubt after leaving Monday night's game with a concussion.
Houston's offensive line has also had its issues recently, ranking 30th in pass-blocking win rate and last in run-blocking win rate. The Texans have found some ways to run the ball out of heavy personnel groups as rookie RB Woody Marks has emerged. Speedy slot receiver Christian Kirk also had a huge performance vs. the Steelers, TE Dalton Schultz is crafty, and young wideouts Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have made some plays for third-year QB C.J. Stroud.
From this perspective, Sunday afternoon's game could be similar to the Patriots slugfest against the Chargers last week. Offensively, second-year QB Drake Maye and company will need to make just enough plays against one of the NFL's best defenses, while you like the Patriots defense's chances to hold the Texans offense in check — it should be a good one and we'll have much more in-depth analysis soon.
The Patriots will host the Texans at Gillette Stadium with kickoff at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday.
 
TEAM NOTES
• Patriots play in 60th postseason game, the 50th during Robert Kraft's
• Patriots win first playoff game since Super Bowl LIII.
• Patriots advance to 22nd Divisional Playoff Game.
• Patriots improve to 4-1 against the Chargers in the postseason.







KRAFT EARNS 34TH POSTSEASON VICTORY
The New England Patriots have won 34 playoff games since Robert Kraft bought the franchise in 1994. The 34 wins rank third among ownership groups in NFL history and are the most by any team since he entered the NFL.
PATRIOTS PLAY IN 60TH POSTSEASON GAME
The Patriots played in their 60th postseason game, the fifth-most in NFL history behind Dallas (67), Pittsburgh (65), Green Bay (65) and San Francisco (63). In the Patriots first 34 seasons (1960-93), the Patriots played in 10 postseason games and had a 4-6 overall record. In the 32 years of Robert Kraft's ownership, the Patriots have played in 50 playoff games and have a 34-16 record in those games. Most Postseason Games Played Team Games Played Dallas 67 Green Bay 65 Pittsburgh 65 San Francisco 63 New England 60 Los Angeles Rams 57 Philadelphia Eagles 56
PATRIOTS EARN 38TH POSTSEASON WIN
The Patriots earned the 38th postseason win overall, one behind the 39 postseason wins by San Francisco.
PATRIOTS EXTEND BEST WINNING PERCENTAGE IN HOME GAMES
The Patriots have a 24-5 (.827) all-time record in home playoff games. The Patriots .827 winning percentage at home in the postseason is first among teams with at least 15 home playoff games. The Patriots are one of six teams with at least 20 playoff wins at home, joining San Francisco (26) , Pittsburgh (21), Dallas (21), Green Bay (20) and Philadelphia (20)






PATRIOTS IMPROVE IN THE WILD CARD ROUND
The Patriots improved to a 5-6 record in the Wild Card round.
PATRIOTS IMPROVE TO 4-1 IN THE POSTSEASON AGAINST THE CHARGERS
The Patriots won their fourth consecutive game against the Chargers in the playoffs, improving to 4-1 overall.
PATRIOTS EARN FIRST POSTSEASON WIN SINCE SUPER BOWL LIII
The victory over the Chargers is the Patriots first postseason win since the 13-3 victory over the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIII on Feb. 3, 2019. It is the Patriots first postseason win at Gillette Stadium since a 4128 win against the L.A. Chargers on Jan. 13, 2019 in an AFC Divisional playoff game.
PATRIOTS ADVANCE TO THEIR 22ND DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF GAME
With the 16-3 win against the Chargers, the Patriots advanced to their 22nd Divisional Playoff game.

PATRIOTS IMPROVE TO 28-8 WHEN SCORING FIRST IN THE POSTSEASON
K Andy Borregales connected on a 23-yard field goal in the second quarter for the game's first points. The Patriots improved to 28-8 in the postseason when scoring first.






PATRIOTS HOLD OPPONENT TO JUST 3 POINTS IN THE POSTSEASON FOR THE SIXTH TIME
The Patriots allowed just 3 points against the Chargers, tying a franchise low in the playoffs for the sixth time in franchise history.
PATRIOTS REGISTER 6 SACKS AGAINST THE CHARGERS
The Patriots defense registered 6 sacks against the Chargers, tied for the second-highest postseason total. The Patriots had 8 sacks vs. Tennessee on Jan. 13, 2018 and also had 6 sacks vs. Jacksonville on Jan. 7, 2006.
INDIVIDUAL NOTES
VRABEL EVENS HIS POSTSEASON RECORD

Head coach Mike Vrabel improved to a 3-3 in postseason record with a 2-1 record in the Wild Card Round, a 1-1 record in the Divisional Round and an 0-1 record in the AFC Championship Game.







MAYE AND STEVENSON CONNECT ON A 48-YARD PASS
QB Drake Maye and RB Rhamondre Stevenson connected on a 48-yard pass in the first quarter. Stevenson has three 40-yard completions in the regular season, including a career-best 55-yarder from Maye at Miami on Sept. 14, 2025. The last time the Patriots connected on a 40-yard pass in the playoffs was when QB Mac Jones connected on a 43-yard pass to WR Kendrick Bourne at Buffalo in the 2021 Wild Card game on Jan. 15, 2022.
MAYE CONNECTED WITH BOUTTE ON A 42-YARD PASS IN THE THIRD QUARTER
Maye connected with WR Kayshon Boutte on a 42-yard pass in the third quarter. Boutte has two 40-yard receptions in the regular season, both for touchdowns. He caught a 48-yard touchdown vs. Buffalo on Jan. 5, 2025 and had a 40-yard touchdown pass vs. Houston on Oct. 13, 2024.
MAYE CONNECTS ON TWO 40-YARD PASSES
Maye had a 48-yard pass to Stevenson in the first quarter and a 42-yard pass to Boutte in the third quarter. The last time the Patriots had at least two 40-yard receptions in a postseason game was in Super Bowl LII vs. Philadelphia when Tom Brady connected on a 50-yard pass to WR Danny Amendola, a 46-yard pass to RB Rex Burkhead and a 43-yard pass to WR Chris Hogan.







STEVENSON IS SECOND PATRIOTS RB WITH A RECEPTION OVER 40 YARDS IN THE POSTSEASON
Stevenson is only the second Patriots running back to have a reception of at least 40 yards in the playoffs, joining RB Rex Burkhead in Super Bowl LII vs. Philadelphia when he had a 46-yard reception from QB Tom Brady in the second quarter. Stevenson (128 scrimmage yards – 53 rushing and 75 receiving) is the first Patriot to record at least 125 scrimmage yards in a playoff game since Julian Edelman had 149 scrimmage yards vs. the L.A. Rams in Super Bowl LIII. He is the third Patriot to have 50 rushing yards and 50 receiving yards in a playoff game, joining Dion Lewis (1/13/18 vs. Tennessee) and Aaron Hernandez (1/14/12 vs. Denver).
MAYE'S 37-YARD RUN IS THE LONGEST BY A QB IN PATRIOTS HISTORY
Maye's 37-yard run in the second quarter is the longest by a Patriots quarterback in postseason history. The previous long was a 16-yard run by QB Mac Jones at Buffalo on Jan. 15, 2022. Maye's longest run in the regular season was a 41-yard run vs. Indianapolis on Dec. 1, 2024. Maye's run is the seventh longest in Patriots postseason history.






MAYE HAS MOST RUSHING YARDS BY A PATRIOTS QB IN A POSTSEASON GAME
Maye finished the game with 10 rushing attempts for 66 yards. His 66 rushing yards the most by a Patriots quarterback in the postseason. The previous best was by QB Steve Grogan, who had 35 yards rushing at Oakland on Dec. 18, 1976.
BACK-TO-BACK SACKS
DT Milton Williams and LB K'Lavon Chaisson had back-to-back sacks in the second quarter. The last time the Patriots had back-to-back sacks was in Week 2 at Miami (9/14/25), when QB Tua Tagovailoa was sacked by LB Robert Spillane on third down, and then Williams on fourth down to seal the game in the fourth quarter.
CHAISSON AND WILLIAMS EACH RECORD TWO SACKS
LB K'Lavon Chaisson and DT Milton Williams each finished with 2 sacks. It is the first time that a Patriots player had at least 2 sacks in a postseason game since LB Dont'a Hightower had 2 sacks in Super Bowl LIII vs the LA Rams. It is the second time in New England postseason history that two players had at least 2 sacks in the same game. On Jan. 13, 2017 in a Divisional Playoff game vs Tennessee, DL Geno Grissom and DL Deatrich Wise Jr. each had 2 sacks. Chaisson had one regular-season game with 2 sacks. That occurred in the win at Tennessee on Oct. 19, 2025. Williams had 2 regular-season games with 2 sacks, including a 2-sack game at Miami on Sept. 14, 2025. Williams now has two 2-sack games in the postseason. He had 2 sacks in Super Bowl LIX against Kansas City.







WESTOVER HAS FIRST CAREER RECEPTION FOR YARDS
FB Jack Westover caught an 8-yard pass from QB Drake Maye in the fourth quarter for his first career reception that gained yards. In the 2025 regular season finale vs. Miami on Jan 4, Westover caught his first pass from QB Josh Dobbs for 0 yards.
LINEUP NOTES
• LB Harold Landry III and OG Jared Wilson returned to action after missing the final two regular-season games due to injuries and were back in the starting lineup.
• LB Robert Spillane returned to action after missing the final three games due to injury.
• 30 Patriots players saw action in their first postseason game.
 


He never seems to want to mention Maye or give him any credit.. I know he considered him the worst passer in the draft that year, which is looking like a real bad take now

Interesting comment regarding owners and coaches, and tough decisions.. he’s still bitter about being fired so he’s not really taking his own advice there

Only person he mentions by name is McDaniels and credits him for the 2nd half offensive production

Weird
 
This is an easy matchup. Houston OL isn't very good, and we should be able to replicate our pass rush performance from the LAC game. Stroud is ass and they won't be able to run on us. I don't see how they score more than 10 points.

Maye has familiarity with this defense and actually played well against them last year with complete shit around him. Torched Stingley for his first ever TD. He started slow in the 1st half last week, but got acclimated to playoff football in the 2nd half and shredded a very good defense. He also had the highest QB rating while under pressure of any QB in the wildcard round.

Should win by at least 10.
 
He never seems to want to mention Maye or give him any credit.. I know he considered him the worst passer in the draft that year, which is looking like a real bad take now

Interesting comment regarding owners and coaches, and tough decisions.. he’s still bitter about being fired so he’s not really taking his own advice there

Only person he mentions by name is McDaniels and credits him for the 2nd half offensive production

Weird
I don't think he ever said maye was the worst passer in the draft. i think that was a clip that basically said that he struggled in certain situations or something like that. people interpreted it that way because of the way it was edited. but I'm open to being proven wrong if someone can find that full clip. don't have time to look for it right now.And if no one finds it, I will try to look for it later.

Bill did not come off as bitter when kraft fired him at first. He handled it fine and didn't talk any shit.It was only after that documentary came out that basically slammed him and kraft made a few little comments that he started getting salty about it. Kraft had every right to fire him. And to determine when the right time to do that was.But getting personal about it like that was absolute bullshit.

Is bill wrong to get petty about it? I think it's not a good idea to retaliate publicly, but I think it's also human nature.

To me it comes off as he was more blaming josh for how it went in the first half because he's crediting him for the second half.But I could be wrong.
 
This is an easy matchup. Houston OL isn't very good, and we should be able to replicate our pass rush performance from the LAC game. Stroud is ass and they won't be able to run on us. I don't see how they score more than 10 points.

Maye has familiarity with this defense and actually played well against them last year with complete shit around him. Torched Stingley for his first ever TD. He started slow in the 1st half last week, but got acclimated to playoff football in the 2nd half and shredded a very good defense. He also had the highest QB rating while under pressure of any QB in the wildcard round.

Should win by at least 10.
can anyone show me a post where this man has been wrong?
 

One thing that is left out of this tweet is that Houston is middle of the pack defending at defending explosive pass plays. There will be opportunities for Maye to torch them deep. He's been the best in the NFL on deep throws.

Also, their pass rush isn't some unstoppable force. They are bottom half of the league in pressure rate. They are good at generating quick pressure, but they probably won't overwhelm you with a ton of pressure throughout the game.

This has all the makings of a legendary Drake Maye performance.
 
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