Patriots GameDay Patriots vs Falcons Week 9
- Thread starter LordSensei1958
- Start date
Patriots GameDay Discussion
after boutte was ruled out for the game right before the first half the offense really struggled to make plays down the field especially in the second half . Boutte is a huge reason why the offense is a success this year and him being injured half the game yesterday truly showed how important his role is
HSanders
Well-known member
Mazz22
From Chapel Hill to Title Town
In terms of betting odds, it makes sense. The odds are not who would get the MVP if the season ended today. The odds factor in who is most likely to win the division and/or #1 seed, and which QB is most likely to keep those numbers thru the final half of the season.
Based on track record, Allen is the answer. And that's why the odds are that way.
If this was Week 15, and the numbers were the same, Maye would be leading the odds.
Mazz22
From Chapel Hill to Title Town
Sure, I get that. But Maye beat Allen at his place AND his numbers are better.
Those odds are predicting how the second half of the season is most likely to turn out. Based on experience and track record, Allen is more likely to keep up the current pace. If you had to bet your life on who would finish the season with the better numbers, how would you bet?
These odds don't care about the current numbers and a Week 4 win. Like I said, if the season ended now, Maye would win MVP. If the numbers are like this in 5 weeks, you will see Maye as the favorite.
Put it this way. KC is out of the playoffs right now. Jax is in. And Jax beat KC. Which team would YOU bet your life on to make the playoffs? KC has better odds than Jax to make the playoffs. If the season ended today? Different story. Just like Maye and Allen.
@Lord Guts tell me where I am wrong here. Or do the oddsmakers just hate the Patriots? You'd get along well at PatsFags with that view.
No youre right
the odds are giving Allen the benefit of the doubt that hell guide the Billdos to the division
Maye is a good value bet
Absolutely. I would put a good sized bet on Allen then a slightly lesser bet on Maye with the greater odds. Seems likely one of the two will win at this point.
Not with those numbers. If the numbers were closer and Bills win the second game, Allen would get the benefit of doubt.
If Maye's numbers are clearly better and the Pats are still ahead of the Bills after Week 15, Maye will be the favorite.
The current odds reflect a belief that Allen will equal or eclipse Maye's numbers and the Bills will still win the division.
HSanders
Well-known member
