NFL GameDay Divisional Round GDT - Bills/Broncos, 49ers/Seahawks, Rams/Bears

[Deus Irae]

It’s 4th and 5 at Rams 20

How does the expected outcome of going for it average out to >3 points, when failing the do-or-die on the first play gives you 0 points? You’d need to assume almost 100% of the time you’d finish off the drive with a TD. The math isn’t even there beyond that intuitively it also seems stupid.

Analytics + A.I. in that it makes the user lazy, which results in a lot of very stupid decisions.

 

[Lord Chevy]

Rams draw first blood - Rushing TD ... Lead 7-0

 

[Deus Irae]

It's early, but first look says that my failure to get that bet in on time is going to cost me $10m in winnings




Rams with the long drive for a TD

 

[Ice_Ice_Brady]

Could Gonzalez cover Nacua without much help or would he get toasted?

 

[Beers]

Only 2.5 more quarters before fingernails starts playing well

 

[Dingleberry]

Could Gonzalez cover Nacua without much help or would he get toasted?

Nacua is more strong than fast. Good matchup for Gonzalez.

 

[LordSensei1958]

 

[Deus Irae]

Bears tie up the game

 

[Lord Guts]

Bears tie up the game

should be 10-7

 

[Beers]

should be 10-7

If BJ wasn't such a retard on 4th downs they wouldn't need to come back in so many games

 

[jlaff]

I should have checked the forecast before I went all in Bears +8.5 over 42.5.

 

[Dingleberry]

I should have checked the forecast before I went all in Bears +8.5 over 42.5.

You're Canadian. Want to cancel the bet?

 

[Ice_Ice_Brady]

Lol 4th and 1 on 31 and going for it

Why??? Again, you make it (maybe 50/50) and you’re still not likely scoring a TD

This idiot should get shit canned. I hear about how he’s such a genius and he’s doing the same thing as Dan Campbell, which is using “probability” to just make senseless risk:reward decisions but pretending to be bold and smart

 

[Dingleberry]

Stafford has already fumbled once and should have been picked twice so far. Put in Dobbs.

 

[Kontradiction]

This bad boy has the potential to be an absolute heater down the stretch.

 

[Kontradiction]

Stafford has already fumbled once and should have been picked twice so far. Put in Dobbs.

I was out of the thread. Was that really being said or are you just being a dickhead?

 

[Dingleberry]

I was out of the thread. Was that really being said or are you just being a dickhead?

When have I ever been a dickhead?

 

[Dingleberry]

I was out of the thread. Was that really being said or are you just being a dickhead?

Both.

I think Deus is ready to kill me.

 

[Kontradiction]

Good. The Bears should be flagged for laying on Williams. That’s bullshit. Also, that city should be nuked. Immediately.

 

[Dingleberry]

Stafford with a whopping 10 points against an average (at best) Bears D. Only one fumble, so great game so far for the big headed douche.